Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.041813 1.178997 1.328494 1.503672 1.703531 1.924691 2.188318
2026-02-01 0.804836 0.985404 1.199083 1.471309 1.809942 2.218662 2.751425
2026-02-08 0.670700 0.866360 1.111309 1.441889 1.878568 2.438667 3.216370
2026-02-15 0.592360 0.799246 1.070422 1.454136 1.986784 2.705381 3.757345
2026-02-22 0.526720 0.737597 1.025077 1.448761 2.062657 2.928016 4.254741
2026-03-01 0.470209 0.680366 0.976968 1.430155 2.112347 3.112464 4.710842
2026-03-08 0.414991 0.618164 0.913884 1.380519 2.107407 3.211358 5.043244
2026-03-15 0.379747 0.581290 0.883259 1.374463 2.164820 3.406135 5.541198
2026-03-22 0.365549 0.574588 0.896755 1.436635 2.333378 3.789125 6.383472
2026-03-29 0.338541 0.544922 0.871150 1.432671 2.392539 3.998157 6.953521
2026-04-05 0.319804 0.526651 0.861690 1.453490 2.493674 4.285071 7.687983
2026-04-12 0.296025 0.497801 0.832026 1.436621 2.526960 4.456082 8.229581
2026-04-19 0.269949 0.464925 0.796260 1.412223 2.556392 4.644749 8.870722
2026-04-26 0.245008 0.432104 0.758253 1.381342 2.573536 4.818693 9.520270
2026-05-03 0.223670 0.403429 0.724444 1.353837 2.592583 4.996275 10.198195
2026-05-10 0.210187 0.387644 0.712235 1.365292 2.687391 5.330937 11.244505
2026-05-17 0.195957 0.369025 0.692799 1.360265 2.748050 5.602979 12.193857
2026-05-24 0.181686 0.348947 0.668579 1.342861 2.780747 5.819895 13.050479
2026-05-31 0.165566 0.323781 0.632086 1.296428 2.746618 5.889591 13.579384
2026-06-07 0.155390 0.309532 0.615956 1.290762 2.799599 6.155227 14.606259
2026-06-14 0.152471 0.309735 0.629090 1.348922 3.000403 6.776674 16.588566
2026-06-21 0.143824 0.297259 0.614741 1.345215 3.059785 7.078256 17.814169
2026-06-28 0.137939 0.290097 0.610952 1.364688 3.175240 7.526393 19.485714